2025-11-21 –, World's Fair Stage
Prediction markets can devolve into speculation, or they can become powerful engines of foresight. This talk explains the design decisions that separate the two. From liquidity traps in off-chain order books to the guarantee curves of LS-LMSR AMMs, we’ll break down how market architecture shapes truth-seeking.
Petra is the founder of Precog, a prediction market where you can trade on future outcomes, launch new markets, and invest in their success.